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Strategic Plan 2020 and Business Plan 2008 - 2012
Rio de Janeiro, August 14 2007 PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S/A - PETROBRAS, [Bovespa: PETR3/PETR4, NYSE: PBR/PBRA, Latibex: XPBR/XPBRA, BCBA: APBR/APBRA], a Brazilian international energy company announces that its Board of Directors approved the Strategic Plan 2020 and the Business Plan 2008-2012. The Business Plan maintains the Companys aggressive growth targets and underscores the challenges to be met in the natural gas and biofuel markets.
The Strategic Plan 2020, which establishes the mission, vision, strategies and corporate objectives of the Company for the future, has expanded Petrobras vision as a leader in Latin America to being one of the largest integrated energy companies in the world. The Plan maintains the strategy of expanding operations in the oil, oil products, petrochemicals, gas energy, biofuels and distribution markets with profitability, social and environmental responsibility and integrated growth.
The Plan also highlights the Companys operational excellence in management, human resources and technology in alignment with the following strategies:
www.petrobras.com.br/ri/english
Contacts: PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S. A. PETROBRAS
Investor Relations Department I Raul Adalberto de Campos - Gerente Executivo I E-mail: petroinvest@petrobras.com.br
Av. República do Chile, 65 22nd floor - 20031-912 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ I Tel.: 55 (21) 3224-1510 / 9947
This document may contain forecasts that merely reflect the expectations of the Companys management. Such terms as anticipate, believe, expect, forecast, intend, plan, project, seek, should, along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein.
The new Plan poses fresh management challenges, including:
The Business Plan 2008-2012 establishes production targets for oil and natural gas in Brazil: these will be 3,058,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boed) in 2012 and 3,455,000 boed in 2015. Petrobras aims to maintain a balance between growth in production and Brazilian refinery capacity, the target for domestic processed crude throughput in 2012 being 2,061,000 barrels per day (bpd), with a 90% participation of domestic crude.
The international targets also reflect the Companys integrated growth with production estimates of 436,000 boed of oil and gas in 2012 and processed crude throughput in Petrobras refineries in other countries amounting to 348,000 bpd.
Petrobras total estimated output (Brazil and overseas) by 2012 has been revised to 3,494,000 barrels daily and the target for 2015 set at 4,153,000 boed.
The integration process has also been extended to petrochemicals where the Company is estimating expansion in operations in Brazil and Latin America, in so doing, capturing synergies with the other businesses of the Petrobras Group.
www.petrobras.com.br/ri/english
Contacts: PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S. A. PETROBRAS
Investor Relations Department I Raul Adalberto de Campos - Gerente Executivo I E-mail: petroinvest@petrobras.com.br
Av. República do Chile, 65 22nd floor - 20031-912 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ I Tel.: 55 (21) 3224-1510 / 9947
This document may contain forecasts that merely reflect the expectations of the Companys management. Such terms as anticipate, believe, expect, forecast, intend, plan, project, seek, should, along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein.
Corporate Targets
Indicators | Realized 2006 |
Target 2012 |
Forecast 2015 |
Production of oil and natural gas Brazil (thousands boe/day) | 2,055 | 3,058 | 3,455 |
Production of oil and natural gas Total (thousands boe/day) | 2,298 | 3,494 | 4,153 |
Processed crude throughput Brazil (thousands bbl/day) | 1,746 | 2,061 | 2,659 |
Processed crude throughput - Total (thousands bbl/day) | 1,872 | 2,409 | 3,007 |
Processing of domestic oil (thousands bbl/day) | 1,388 | 1,853 | 2,445 |
The Plan calls for investments of US$ 112.4 billion until 2012, representing an annual average of US$ 22.5 billion, being 87% (US$ 97.4 billion) in Brazil and 13% (US$ 15.0 billion) overseas. This amount represents an increase of 29% compared with the previous Plan.
The highlights of the investments in Brazil are represented by the growth in Exploration and Production (an increase of 32%), Downstream (an increase of 35%) and Petrochemicals (an increase of 30%). The Plan also places an emphasis on biofuels which will receive investments of US$ 1.5 billion.
Investments in the international operations will focus largely on the area of Exploration and Production particularly in Latin America, West Africa and the Gulf of Mexico.
The growth of investments is due to: US$ 13.3 billion in new projects, US$ 10.9 billion for the increase in costs due to increased market demand for sector equipment and services, US$ 4.2 billion due to local currency appreciation and the remainder with respect to other factors such as changes in the project scope, in the business model, etc.
www.petrobras.com.br/ri/english
Contacts: PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S. A. PETROBRAS
Investor Relations Department I Raul Adalberto de Campos - Gerente Executivo I E-mail: petroinvest@petrobras.com.br
Av. República do Chile, 65 22nd floor - 20031-912 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ I Tel.: 55 (21) 3224-1510 / 9947
This document may contain forecasts that merely reflect the expectations of the Companys management. Such terms as anticipate, believe, expect, forecast, intend, plan, project, seek, should, along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein.
Investments (US$ billion)
Business Segment | BP 2007-2011 | BP 2008-2012 | Change (%) |
E&P | 49.3 | 65.1 | 32 |
Downstream | 21.9* | 29.6 | 35 |
G&E | 7.3* | 6.7 | -8 |
Petrochemicals | 3.3 | 4.3 | 30 |
Distribution | 2.3 | 2.6 | 13 |
Biofuels | 1.2 | 1.5 | 25 |
Corporate | 1.8 | 2.5 | 39 |
Total | 87.1 | 112.4 | 29 |
(*) In the 2007-2011 BP included investments in boifuels |
Included in the above investments are US$ 18.2 billion to be applied by different areas in the Brazilian natural gas chain with the objective of developing, leading and guaranteeing the reliable supply of natural gas to the Brazilian market. Petrobras partners in the sector are expected to invest an additional US$ 1.0 billion over the same period.
The revision of the plan adopts a realistic stance, incorporating increases in international oil prices. These increases have generated impacts along the entire production chain, principally with respect to the costs of services, maintenance, equipment and specialized operations for the petroleum sector with across-the-board consequences on lifting and refining costs for all companies in the industry. The growth in the world economy has also had a direct repercussion on several industrial segments that make up the industrys inputs and basic raw materials supply chain.
Costs
Indicators | Realized 2006 | Target 2012 |
Lifting costs Brazil (*)(US$/boe) | 6.59 | 6.13 |
Operating costs of refining - Brazil (US$/bbl) | 2.29 | 3.69 |
Lifting costs International (*)(US$/boe) | 3.36 | 3.52 |
Operating costs of refining - Internacional (US$/bbl) | 1.73 | 2.24 |
(*) without government take |
www.petrobras.com.br/ri/english
Contacts: PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S. A. PETROBRAS
Investor Relations Department I Raul Adalberto de Campos - Gerente Executivo I E-mail: petroinvest@petrobras.com.br
Av. República do Chile, 65 22nd floor - 20031-912 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ I Tel.: 55 (21) 3224-1510 / 9947
This document may contain forecasts that merely reflect the expectations of the Companys management. Such terms as anticipate, believe, expect, forecast, intend, plan, project, seek, should, along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein.
In its Business Plan 2008-2012, the Company is to maintain a policy of price alignment with the international market. Petrobras forecasts own cash flow generation in the period at US$ 104.4 billion (net of dividends), sufficient to cover 93% of the Investment Plan. Funding raised in the financial markets will be US$ 19.4 billion and debt amortization is calculated at US$ 11.4 billion.
Investment plan funding (US$ billion)
Sources and Uses | Sources | Uses |
Third-party capital | 19.4 | - |
Free own cash generation net of dividends | 104.4 | - |
Debt amortization | - | 11.4 |
Investments | - | 112.4 |
Petrobras will continue to pursue its policy of extending the debt maturity profile and reducing financial leverage, which despite increased investments, will be less than the previous plan.
Return and financial leverage indicators
Indicators | BP 2007-2011 Average |
BP 2008-2012 Average |
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) (%) | 16 | 14 |
Net Debt / Net Debt + Shareholders Equity (Financial Leverage) (%) | 25 | 20 |
www.petrobras.com.br/ri/english
Contacts: PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S. A. PETROBRAS
Investor Relations Department I Raul Adalberto de Campos - Gerente Executivo I E-mail: petroinvest@petrobras.com.br
Av. República do Chile, 65 22nd floor - 20031-912 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ I Tel.: 55 (21) 3224-1510 / 9947
This document may contain forecasts that merely reflect the expectations of the Companys management. Such terms as anticipate, believe, expect, forecast, intend, plan, project, seek, should, along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein.
Some quantitative assumptions relating to growth of the world economy, foreign exchange rate and the prices and margins of oil and oil products have been re-evaluated, bringing them into line with the current economic scenario.
Macroeconomic assumptions
Indicators | BP 2007-2011 | BP 2008-2012 |
GDP World (% p.a.) PPP* | 4.2 | 4.3 |
GDP Latin America (% p.a.) PPP* | 3.7 | 3.9 |
GDP Brazil (% p.a.) | 4.0 | 4.0 |
FX Rate (R$/US$) | 2.50 | 2.18 |
Brent for funding (US$/bbl) | 2008 40.00 2009~2011 35.00 |
2008 55.00 2009 50.00 2010 45.00 2011~2012 35.00 |
Oil Product Prices | Linked international market prices without changes in relative prices | Linked international market prices without changes in relative prices |
* PPP - Purchase Power Parity |
The Company aims to become a global company in the commercialization and logistics of biofuels, leading the domestic production of biodiesel and expanding its share of the ethanol business. In line with this strategy, H-BIO (Bio-refining) will provide leverage for growth in this market.
Biofuels
Indicators | Realized 2006 |
Target 2012 |
HBIO processing capacity (thousands m3/year) | - | 1.600 |
Biodiesel supply capacity (thousands m3/year) | - | 938 |
Ethanol Exports (thousand m3/year) | 80 | 4.750 |
www.petrobras.com.br/ri/english
Contacts: PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S. A. PETROBRAS
Investor Relations Department I Raul Adalberto de Campos - Gerente Executivo I E-mail: petroinvest@petrobras.com.br
Av. República do Chile, 65 22nd floor - 20031-912 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ I Tel.: 55 (21) 3224-1510 / 9947
This document may contain forecasts that merely reflect the expectations of the Companys management. Such terms as anticipate, believe, expect, forecast, intend, plan, project, seek, should, along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein.
Petrobras is committed with the sustainable development based on profitability, integrated growth and social and environmental responsibility.
Corporate Occupational Safety, Environmental and Health Targets
Indicators | Realized 2006 |
Target 2012 |
Maximum Admissible Leakage Volume (m3) | 293 | 601 |
Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate (Compounded TFCA)(# Accidents / MHW million) | 0.77 | 0.50 |
Percentage of Time Lost (PTP) Group Employees (%) | 2.06 | 2.18 |
Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions Avoided (Tons of CO2 Equivalent in Millions) | 2.03 | 3.93 |
www.petrobras.com.br/ri/english
Contacts: PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S. A. PETROBRAS
Investor Relations Department I Raul Adalberto de Campos - Gerente Executivo I E-mail: petroinvest@petrobras.com.br
Av. República do Chile, 65 22nd floor - 20031-912 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ I Tel.: 55 (21) 3224-1510 / 9947
This document may contain forecasts that merely reflect the expectations of the Companys management. Such terms as anticipate, believe, expect, forecast, intend, plan, project, seek, should, along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein.
PETRÓLEO BRASILEIRO S.A--PETROBRAS |
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By: |
/S/ Almir Guilherme Barbassa
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Almir Guilherme Barbassa
Chief Financial Officer and Investor Relations Officer |
This press release may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are statements that are not historical facts, and are based on management's current view and estimates offuture economic circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial results. The words "anticipates", "believes", "estimates", "expects", "plans" and similar expressions, as they relate to the company, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Statements regarding the declaration or payment of dividends, the implementation of principal operating and financing strategies and capital expenditure plans, the direction of future operations and the factors or trends affecting financial condition, liquidity or results of operations are examples of forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect the current views of management and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. There is no guarantee that the expected events, trends or results will actually occur. The statements are based on many assumptions and factors, including general economic and market conditions, industry conditions, and operating factors. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations.