What Happened?
Shares of computer processor maker Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) jumped 7.2% in the afternoon session after markets rallied sharply on news that President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause. Reciprocal tariffs were also dropped to 10% for most countries, sparking renewed optimism amid ongoing trade talks. The major stock indices rose as investors, growing impatient of seemingly irrational tariff actions, welcomed the pause as a sign of a more measured path forward.
However, Trump was quick to note that China was not part of the pause. Instead, he prepared to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 125% after China announced retaliatory tariffs on US imports. This tough stance on China stood in sharp contrast to the softer tone toward others. In a week marked by growing uncertainty, this news eased some of the pressure. The questions remain whether we are out of the woods and can sustain the rally or not.
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What The Market Is Telling Us
Intel’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 31 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was about 23 hours ago when the stock dropped 6.7% on the news that markets gave up early gains with optimism over progress in US-China trade talks quickly fading as the Trump administration announced plans to raise tariffs on all Chinese imports to well above 100%. Hopes had been lifted by chatter of constructive negotiations aimed at easing and eventually removing U.S. trade tariffs. But the news confirmed fears of a prolonged trade fight, increasing uncertainty about the direction of economic policy. This left investors grappling with the dual threat of slower growth and higher inflation, both of which could linger if the standoff continues.
Intel is up 4.9% since the beginning of the year, but at $21.24 per share, it is still trading 44.6% below its 52-week high of $38.33 from April 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Intel’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $371.28.
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